Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.005083 0.005778 0.006574 0.007562 0.008771 0.010217 0.012106
2025-11-30 0.004070 0.004916 0.005975 0.007429 0.009426 0.012158 0.016342
2025-12-07 0.003448 0.004325 0.005486 0.007189 0.009728 0.013563 0.020237
2025-12-14 0.003061 0.003953 0.005186 0.007095 0.010142 0.015165 0.025018
2025-12-21 0.002858 0.003792 0.005137 0.007330 0.011078 0.017851 0.033050
2025-12-28 0.002724 0.003703 0.005170 0.007682 0.012279 0.021409 0.045205
2026-01-04 0.002556 0.003543 0.005065 0.007780 0.013033 0.024365 0.058352
2026-01-11 0.002382 0.003352 0.004884 0.007708 0.013436 0.026712 0.072086
2026-01-18 0.002248 0.003210 0.004766 0.007727 0.014024 0.029753 0.092003
2026-01-25 0.002098 0.003029 0.004560 0.007545 0.014132 0.031605 0.110024
2026-02-01 0.001940 0.002821 0.004290 0.007200 0.013795 0.032072 0.122508
2026-02-08 0.001798 0.002632 0.004034 0.006855 0.013391 0.032213 0.134046
2026-02-15 0.001721 0.002552 0.003979 0.006939 0.014137 0.036711 0.188006
2026-02-22 0.001623 0.002429 0.003838 0.006829 0.014379 0.039761 0.246059
2026-03-01 0.001522 0.002295 0.003662 0.006616 0.014298 0.041604 0.304731
2026-03-08 0.001446 0.002200 0.003551 0.006532 0.014560 0.045107 0.415434
2026-03-15 0.001412 0.002174 0.003569 0.006741 0.015746 0.053888 0.760147
2026-03-22 0.001391 0.002170 0.003626 0.007054 0.017382 0.067132 1.847239
2026-03-29 0.001347 0.002122 0.003593 0.007141 0.018313 0.077876 4.443106
2026-04-05 0.001293 0.002050 0.003505 0.007077 0.018706 0.085832 10.932903
2026-04-12 0.001251 0.001997 0.003451 0.007094 0.019412 0.097612 59.873394
2026-04-19 0.001196 0.001918 0.003336 0.006933 0.019387 0.103491 549.611579
2026-04-26 0.001132 0.001820 0.003173 0.006626 0.018703 0.102501 5445.937034